Friday, 07 April 2023 04:02

What to know after Day 407 of Russia-Ukraine war

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WESTERN PERSPECTIVE

Ukrainian forces cling onto besieged city, China pressed to help end war

Seven civilians were reported killed by Ukrainian artillery strikes in Russian-controlled areas as the battle for Bakhmut, the devastated eastern city that has become a symbol of Kyiv's defiance of Russia, raged with no end in sight.

A top Russian official said there was no chance of peace talks this year as French President Emmanuel Macron urged Chinese leader Xi Jinping to persuade Russia to negotiate an end to Europe's bloodiest conflict since World War Two.

Following talks in Beijing on Thursday with Macron and European Union chief Ursula von der Leyen, Xi said he hoped Russia and Ukraine could hold negotiations as soon as possible and warned all countries against using nuclear weapons.

He did not express a willingness to speak to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, although Von der Leyen said Xi had told her a conversation could happen when the "conditions and time are right".

China and Russia have declared a "no limits" partnership and Xi has sought to position China as a mediator in the Ukraine conflict. China has released a 12-point peace plan but the proposal has been largely dismissed by the West as China has declined to condemn Russia for invading its sovereign neighbour.

Standing alongside the Chinese president outside the Great Hall of the People ahead of their meeting, Macron told Xi that "Russian aggression in Ukraine has dealt a blow to stability".

"I know I can count on you to bring back Russia to reason and everyone back to the negotiating table," Macron said.

There are no talks going on aimed at ending the war, and Dmitry Suslov, an adviser to Russian President Vladimir Putin, was quoted in Italy's Corriere della Sera newspaper on Thursday as saying there was "zero" chance of talks happening in 2023.

Putin says Russia's "special military operation" was necessary to eliminate Ukrainian Nazis and defend Russia from a hostile West. Ukraine and its allies call it an unprovoked war of conquest.

The war has cost thousands of lives, wrecked cities, driven millions from their homes and destabilised the global economy.

Four civilians were killed on Thursday in the Russia-controlled Donetsk region when shells hit a car park, Russia's Tass news agency said. Three people died in blasts at a bus stop in Lysychansk, northeast of Donetsk, RIA news agency reported.

Reuters was unable to independently verify the reports.

BAKHMUT

The months-long battle for Bakhmut, one of the last urban centres in the eastern Donetsk province yet to fall to Russian forces, has proven one of the bloodiest of the war.

"(Battles) are underway in the streets, enemy attempts to encircle the city are failing. Our command fully control the situation," said Andriy Yermak, a senior adviser to Zelenskiy.

The leader of Russia's private Wagner militia, Yevgeny Prigozhin, said fighting was raging in the west of the city.

"It must be said clearly that the enemy is not going anywhere," he said on his Telegram channel.

Prigozhin has often complained of a lack of ammunition for his fighters in Bakhmut. But Ukrainian border guard Levko Stek, speaking in a video clip amid explosions, said Ukrainian forces did not sense any "ammunition hunger" on the Russian side.

Western analysts have played down the strategic significance of Bakhmut but Ukraine has framed its dogged defence of the city as a way of wearing down Russian forces ahead of a counter-offensive bolstered by advanced Western-supplied weapons.

"We are ready, we have to do it, the sooner the better. The enemy must be chased away. At the moment we are waiting for the weather to change, the mud is an obstacle," Naza, a 21-year-old unit commander told Reuters outside Bakhmut.

Speaking from close to the front line, the commander of Ukraine's 5th separate assault brigade, who gave his name as Ivan, said: "Those service members that are not on the front line are training."

Ukrainian military expert Oleksander Musienko said Russian forces were "exhausted and cannot maintain the same pace of attacks" that they launched in February.

"It's clear now that the Russian army's ability to attack is stalled. And for all their bravado about taking over Bakhmut, it is just not true," he said in a video commentary.

"The Russian forces are preparing to organise defensive positions. The idea is to bring the war into a positional phase, essentially a stalemate."

RUSSIAN PERSPECTIVE

US opposes NATO ‘roadmap’ for Ukraine – FT

US President Joe Biden’s administration has reportedly opposed efforts by some European allies to give Ukraine a clear “roadmap” for joining NATO, urging partners to focus on providing short-term aid to Kiev.

The US is siding with Germany and Hungary in resisting efforts from such allies as Poland and the Baltic states to offer Ukraine deeper ties with NATO and clear support for its future membership in the Western military bloc, the Financial Timesreported on Wednesday, citing four unidentified officials involved in the negotiations.

The issue has been under debate this week at a meeting of NATO foreign ministers in Brussels, where alliance members are trying to lay the groundwork for the bloc’s leaders’ summit, which is scheduled for July in Vilnius, Lithuania. Although NATO’s 31 members agree that membership can’t be offered to Ukraine in the short term – nor can it be seriously discussed amid the former Soviet republic’s current conflict with Russia – this week’s talks have exposed a clear divide over the group’s vision for Kiev’s postwar status, the FT said.

Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky has warned that he will only attend the summit in Vilnius if he’s offered clear steps for Kiev’s ascension to NATO, such as security guarantees and deeper collaboration with the alliance. Bloc members agreed in 2008 that Ukraine would be allowed to join NATO at some point. Back then, the US was pushing for giving Kiev a clear timetable and an action plan for membership, the FT said, but France and Germany resisted on concerns that such a step would provoke Russia.

Diplomats attending this week’s talks haven’t been able to reach agreement on what Ukraine should be offered in a freshened statement on its NATO prospects. “We’ve got several weeks of hard negotiations ahead to close those gaps and craft a political outcome,” one official said. However, another noted, “The road [to Vilnius] is rocky.”

Washington is concerned that deepening the alliance’s ties with Ukraine at this juncture would feed into Russian claims that the current crisis is a conflict between Moscow and NATO, the FT said. It also might spur Russia to escalate the conflict, possibly by deploying nuclear weapons.

Russian officials have claimed that the US and its NATO allies promised after the Soviet Union’s collapse not to expand the bloc into Eastern Europe. Since then, the alliance has added 15 new members, all of which were former Soviet republics or part of Warsaw Pact nations.

** China's position on Ukraine boils down to 'supporting talks for peace' — Xi Jinping

China's position on the Ukrainian crisis is ‘supporting talks for peace’, Chinese President Xi Jinping said on Thursday during a trilateral meeting with his French counterpart Emmanuel Macron and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in Beijing.

"China independently decides its position based on the merits of issues. China’s position on Ukraine boils down to supporting talks for peace," the Chinese Foreign Ministry quoted Xi Jinping as saying, "China calls on the parties to be calm and rational and jointly create conditions for peace talks. The pressing priority is to bring about a ceasefire and oppose actions that further inflame or complicate the situation."

According to the Chinese leader, Beijing will continue to actively call for peace talks. He said that "China supports EU efforts to propose approaches and plans for a political settlement of the Ukraine crisis, and to build a balanced, effective and sustainable European security framework, which serves the fundamental and long-term interests of the EU."

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and French President Emmanuel Macron are visiting China from April 5 to 7.

 

Reuters/RT/TASS

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